Higher defaults in 4Q follow storms and historic low rates

4Q 2016 Market Insights . Bond Portfolios in Low Yield Environments .. For those that follow our research,it isn’t much of a secret that we believe high valuations. higher interest rates , yet as we speak, rates are nearly 0 .75% lower now than they were a.

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Storm clouds may be gathering, with China’s housing sector a source of fear. Mr Spegel forecast that the default rate would remain at low levels for most of this year, before ticking up to 1.

MGIC’s 2Q income up as losses were lower than forecast markets. In addition, low reinvestment yields led to a decline in in-come from debt securities; also, operating realized gains/losses (net) decreased as a result of lower debt realizations.

The 10-year rates are forecasted to increase to 2.75 percent and 2.90 per- cent at the end of December and March, respectively, while 30-year yields are expected to finish 4Q’13 at 3.75 percent and 1Q’14 at 3.95 percent

"The storm prediction center is forecasting. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph. Tonight showers are likely. Skies will be mostly cloudy and breezy with a low around 63 degrees. Winds could gusts.

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A confluence of factors has led the National Weather Service to warn of the possibility of "major to potentially historic" river flooding. when combined with high winds, could make travel difficult.

Interests rates are suspiciously low for an economy riddled with so much debt, common economic knowledge suggests that interests rates should be higher and yet we are seeing some negative interest.

Consumers show ability to absorb a single rate hike Home prices in 20 U.S. cities cool with smallest gain since 2012 Las Vegas, one of the hardest-hit cities in the housing bust, has been making a comeback since prices bottomed out in 2012. them cool off “a little bit” to avoid going there. Home prices rose in.Liquidity Trapped! The Fed’s Policy nightmare august 23, 2016. the markets to absorb a rate hike without breaking important downside support.. inflationary pressures and lower interest rates and massive surges in consumer debt to sustain an increased level of living standards.

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The high-yield default rate in the fourth-quarter of 2017 fell to 3.3%, even as U.S. nonfinancial-corporate debt ended in 2017 at 45.4% of GDP. This compares with a much higher default rate of 11.1% in the second quarter of 2009, with corporate debt levels at 45% of GDP.

Costly markets ‘move to frigid waters,’ price growth to warm in 2020 Japan to speed growth of hydrogen refueling stations.. The body aims to have both setup and operating costs slashed in half by 2020 through development of lower-cost facilities and loosened.